Within only 12 years of its first release, a new technology has attracted a market capitalisation of around 10% of all the physical gold available on earth. However, it is barely reflected in state-of-the-art investment portfolios yet. Synpulse reveals why it will be inevitable that banks include cryptocurrencies and cryptoassets in standard investment solutions and how this can be achieved in a compliant, efficient and secure way.
Cryptocurrencies got off to a rocky start, characterised by scandals like the collapse of the Mt. Gox exchange. Since then, however, the crypto market has matured significantly and regulated exchanges, as well as brokers, have opened up the market for the masses.
In addition, new, innovative business models based on blockchain technology have emerged and even the first regulated banks are offering crypto services – mainly to buy, hold and sell digital assets. The risk related to holding private keys and trading cryptoassets has decreased and more and more vendors are accepting major cryptocurrencies to pay for their goods.
In consequence, the trust of institutional investors in cryptoassets has increased and led to a growing acceptance, unveiling their potential beyond cryptocurrencies, too. On the other hand, central banks continue ‘printing’ more and more fiat money.
Following those developments, the crypto market has gained in market capitalisation, diversity and liquidity – and many cryptoassets, such as Bitcoin, have established themselves more as a store of value rather than as a means of payment. This is not unexpected.
Common cryptocurrencies or ‘payment tokens’ have no fundamental value, i.e. are not backed by any scarce physical commodity, nor do they incorporate any claim against their issuer as traditional credit money does. Although some may grant you access to a certain service or even goods, the price of cryptocurrencies is still mainly driven by the expectation of capital gains. This makes them very volatile against fiat currencies, which are legal tender by law. However, the unique characteristics of cryptoassets and the technology they are backed by come with a huge upside potential, too.
Cryptoassets are digitally scarce or even show deflationary tendencies (if keys get lost or coins get ‘burned’, for example). Their scarcity is given by an immutable computer code every network participant must comply with. For example, there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin and they will be issued at a predefined rate. As soon as the next block halving takes place in 2024, the growth rate of Bitcoin – as the main cryptocurrency which still dominates the market by means of its capitalisation – will be lower than that of physical gold.
In fact, research shows that, based on data from the last ten years, unbacked cryptocurrencies have established themselves as a new asset class of their own, which makes them extremely attractive for investors in a portfolio context.
Including cryptocurrencies in a well-diversified investment portfolio therefore increases the expected return of this portfolio or could reduce the portfolio risk by maintaining the expected returns. In other words, the diversification effect is sufficient to shift the efficient frontier of a portfolio upwards or outperform the same portfolio without cryptocurrencies in the long run (risk-adjusted).
Every crypto investor needs a solution for trading and holding their assets. While demand to get exposure to cryptoassets has increased especially by institutional investors, there are still not many banks and wealth managers which offer their clients investment opportunities in cryptos today. And if they do, they barely include them in their advisory or discretionary investment solutions.
The inclusion of cryptoassets in investment solutions offers a wide range of opportunities for banks and wealth managers to increase their net new money, assets under management and profit margin:
For banks, the opportunities in this space are attractive as they can leverage their banking license as well as their core capabilities, that is, extend them to the specifics of cryptoassets.
Before recommending crypto products to clients, a bank should ask themselves a few questions in order to define a robust framework:
Understanding cryptoassets requires an understanding of their diverse risks along with their technical infrastructure. They are prone to high volatility and a total loss of an investor’s capital is possible. Therefore, banks are required to build up expertise in understanding crypto-related market dynamics and associated risks. A close collaboration between the investment office and the front office ensures up-to-date education of the sales front.
When deliberately invested, cryptoassets provide upside potential. Based on common models used for portfolio optimisation purposes, research shows that in the past, adding cryptocurrencies to an investment portfolio in the range of up to 10% of the portfolio value could be beneficial in terms of optimising risk and return based on a client’s risk preferences.
In summary, a crypto framework is built on the basis of a thorough analysis of crypto products, the careful selection of relevant clients as well as their education about crypto products. All these are key elements of a successful integration of crypto products into the advisory universe.
Once such a framework has been defined, Execution Only clients can also benefit from the availability of crypto products. Moreover, the bank can ask themselves whether they want to include their recommended crypto products in their discretionary mandates, too.
Cryptoassets are exposed to risks specific to their underlying technology. For example, the counterparty risk that your keys get lost if you do not hold them yourself and you or your delegate loses access to your funds may not be underestimated. This can likely happen due to technical or backup failure at the point of storage – or due to human error.
Hence, our experience shows that it is crucial to decide on how to implement cryptoassets in the investment service offering. There are several options, and each should be evaluated carefully especially in light of your strategic goals and target operating model. For example, you could:
Each option comes with its own benefits and risks. Depending on the one chosen, the complexity of the implementation can vary greatly since you may need to seek approval from your supervisory authority. In any case, we have found that it is crucial to align the implementation solution with other potential business cases which the bank might want to implement as well. Ideally, a service can be reused or leveraged for other business cases.
Based on our experience, we have identified some general factors behind the success of a crypto initiative.
Our assessment shows that, by getting to grips with the challenges described, banks can access the field of cryptoassets and service offerings successfully. Today, this may still lead to a competitive advantage by attracting new clients whereas tomorrow, it seems inevitable that any bank providing investment services will also provide access to the new asset class of cryptoassets.
Synpulse can support you in all these steps, thanks to our long-standing advisory expertise – from education, to facilitation, right through to validation of a market fit, operating model integration and implementation.